Trusted Binary Options Brokers

anyoption_binary

Profit guaranteed

Profit Guaranteed
*We offer a $100 guarantee that you will profit every month using our trading signals, following our strategy & registering at recommended brokers through us

Tuesday 31 December 2013

Stock Market update 2

S&P Futures found small support @ 1839 (S&P 500 around 1844.5) & is trying to stay above 1840 (S&P 500 around 1845.5) & go even higher

Stock Market update

New possible resistance @ S&P Futures' 1840 (S&P 500 around 1845.5)

US economic reports update

S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
Actual: 13.6%   Estimate: 13.4%   Previous: 13.3%
Chicago PMI
Actual: 59.1   Estimate: 61.3   Previous:  63.0
CB Consumer Confidence
Actual: 78.1   Estimate: 76.5   Previous: 70.4

Stock Market Analysis

S&P Futures broke above resistance & went higher, showing a lot of strength but went up too high too early again
S&P 500 new resistance @ 1844 but it might be able to go even higher if economic news especially Consumer Confidence are better than expected

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1844 if it breaks above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration, sell @ 1844 if it fails & drops further
If it fails, S&P 500 might drop back to test 1840 again
Look to buy S&P 500 around 1839 or 1840 (support not confirmed yet for today) if it rebounds, stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration, especially if economic news are better than expected & the market goes up after that

Today's the end of the year 2013 & trading will be at a higher risk as stocks might also drop instead of going higher due to profit taking

US economic reports 31 December 2013

9:00am
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
9:45am
Chicago PMI
10:00am
CB Consumer Confidence

Sell S&P 500 @ 1842- 2 wins

Previous signal:
S&P 500 rebounded @ 1839 & is trying to stay above 1840 & go higher again, but is still weak for now & shouldn't go too high
Look to sell S&P 500 @ 1842 stronger resistance or 1841.40 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration or less
S&P 500 currently hesitating at 1841.40, previous closing price, stronger resistance @ 1842

Risk: S&P 500 might also try to break above 1842 later

Results: Sell S&P 500 @ 1842 or 1841.40- 2 wins
S&P 500 dropped @ 1841.40 & expired @ 1840.57 at 12pm EST
S&P 500 tried to break above 1842 later, slightly breaking above 1841.40 but failed to stay above & couldn't even reach 1842 stronger resistance
S&P 500 dropped again to expire @ 1840.41 at 3:30pm EST


Sell Google @ 1120- win

Sell Google @ 1120 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
Google dropped from 1120 & expired @ 1114.315 at 10:30am EST
Google also stayed below 1120 for the rest of the day & dropped even further to close @ 1109.46


Buy S&P 500 @ 1840- 4 wins at higher risk

Previous Analysis & Signals to watch:
The stock market continues to be unstable as stocks drop, trading will be at a higher risk
Watch if S&P 500 can stay above support @ 1840 & break above 1842 to go higher
Economic news @ 10am EST might be the deciding factor
High risk:
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher, especially if economic news is better than expected & the market goes up after that

Update:
S&P 500 support @ 1840 broken, S&P Futures possible support @ 1835.45 & 1835.0 also broken
Economic news worse than expected although better than previous, stocks should be quite weak today
Buy S&P 500 @ 1840 became invalid & not safe to trade

Results: invalid / 4 wins at higher risk
Although signal became invalid & not safe to trade after it broke below support, it's still possible to win trading at higher risk after it broke & stayed above 1840 later
After update, S&P 500 dropped to 1839, which confirms that it's not safe to trade
Then it rebounded & went up above 1840 again, but also dropped below 1840 several times
However, it's still possible to win trading at higher risk even though it's not in the best market conditions

Buy S&P 500 @ 1840 after it stayed above & went higher, for 30 minutes expiration
S&P 500 expired @ 1840.85 at 11:30am EST, 1840.57 at 12pm EST, 1840.47 at 2:30pm EST, 1841.07 at 4pm EST


Monday 30 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1842

S&P 500 rebounded @ 1839 & is trying to stay above 1840 & go higher again, but is still weak for now & shouldn't go too high
Look to sell S&P 500 @ 1842 stronger resistance or 1841.40 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration or less
S&P 500 currently hesitating at 1841.40, previous closing price, stronger resistance @ 1842

Risk: S&P 500 might also try to break above 1842 later

Sell Google @ 1120

Sell Google @ 1120 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 update

S&P 500 support @ 1840 broken, S&P Futures possible support @ 1835.45 & 1835.0 also broken
Economic news worse than expected although better than previous, stocks should be quite weak today
Buy S&P 500 @ 1840 became invalid & not safe to trade

US economic reports update

10:00am
Pending Home Sales m/m
Actual: 0.2%   Estimate: 1.1%   Previous: -0.6%

Stock Market Analysis

The stock market continues to be unstable as stocks drop, trading will be at a higher risk
Watch if S&P 500 can stay above support @ 1840 & break above 1842 to go higher
Economic news @ 10am EST might be the deciding factor
High risk:
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher, especially if economic news is better than expected & the market goes up after that

US economic reports 30 December 2013

10:00am
Pending Home Sales m/m

Saturday 28 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1842- 2 wins, Sell S&P Futures @ 1837- 2 wins

Previous signal:
S&P 500 retested yesterday's resistance @ 1842 but failed to stay above & dropped further
S&P Futures' value changed compared to S&P 500, S&P 500's 1842 now = S&P Future's 1837 (previously 1836)
We also mentioned earlier that S&P Futures built strong resistance @ 1839= S&P 500's 1844

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1842 & 1844 or S&P Futures 1837 & 1839 if it stays below & drops further again
Risk: Stocks might suddenly break above & go higher again, but looks weak for now, support remains at S&P 500's 1840 although slightly broken & weakened
Trading continues to be riskier as stocks are trying to go higher but facing strong resistances

Results:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1842- 2 wins
1842 confirmed as strong resistance after it dropped further
S&P 500 stayed below 1842 for the rest of the day & couldn't even reach 1844 anymore
Sell S&P 500 @ 1844 invalid as it couldn't even be reached anymore
S&P 500 tried to break & stay above 1842 again but failed & dropped further to expire @ 1840.84 at 3pm EST & 1841.40 at 4pm EST



Sell S&P Futures @ 1837- 2 wins
S&P Futures expired @ 1835.65 at 3pm EST & 1836.65 at 4pm EST
Same as S&P 500, Sell S&P Futures @ 1839 invalid as it couldn't even be reached anymore


Trading signals to watch results: 6 wins

Previous analysis & signals to watch:
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1840 & 1842 (S&P Futures around 1834 & 1836) if it breaks above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1834 for end of day expiration (High risk speculative signal as it's not confirmed if it can stay above yet)
1842 was yesterday's resistance but is slightly broken, making it possibly easier to break above & go higher today
Resistance remains as S&P Futures dropped below 1836 after the market closed & looks weak for now
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1836 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes or less expiration
It might be safer not to sell near or after the stock market opens at 9:30am EST as it often goes up after that

Update:
S&P Futures broke above 1836 even before the market opened, which was too soon
Most stocks dropped after the market opened as they're too high
S&P Futures built strong resistance @ 1839 & dropped sharply to 1834, S&P 500 also broke slightly below possible support @ 1840
It will be much more difficult for stocks to go higher today

Trading risk increased, market is bearish for now without any strong supports, avoid trading for now to be safer, unless it rebounds strongly & goes higher

Results:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1836- 2 wins
S&P Futures first stayed below 1836 for a while & dropped further to expire @ 1835.15 at 7am EST & 1835.65 at 7:30am EST
(Time shown in all S&P Futures charts are EST+13hours)



Buy S&P Futures @ 1836- 1 win
Stop selling & switch to buy S&P Futures @ 1836 after it broke above resistance & went higher to expire around 1837.45 at 8am EST


Buy S&P Futures @ 1834- 1 win
S&P Futures broke above 1836 even before the stock market opened & was overbought earlier than expected
After market opened, it started to build resistance @ 1839 then dropped sharply to around 1834 (1834.65 lowest point)
Wait for it to rebound strongly & go higher
S&P Futures expired @ 1837.45 at 11:30am EST




Buy S&P Futures @ 1834 for end of day expiration- 1 win
S&P Futures also stayed above 1834 for the rest of the day & went higher to expire @ 1836.65 at the end of the day (4pm EST)


Buy S&P 500 @ 1840- 1 win
The stock market was overbought even before it opened, earlier than we expected
We expected S&P 500 to retest 1840 support & 1842 resistance only after the market opened
But it broke above resistance too early then corrected itself by dropping back to the range of 1840-1842
However, it also lost momentum & was unable to break above 1842 anymore

S&P 500 built resistance @ 1844 & dropped sharply to 1840, even breaking slightly below 1840
Avoid trading when it continued to be in a downtrend, wait for it to rebound strongly & go higher
S&P 500 rebounded & went higher later to expire @ 1841.59 at 11:30am EST

Buy S&P 500 @ 1842- invalid
1842 then stayed as resistance as S&P 500 couldn't stay above it properly & kept dropping below therefore signal is invalid



Friday 27 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1842 & 1844 or S&P Futures 1837 & 1839

S&P 500 retested yesterdays' resistance @ 1842 but failed to stay above & dropped further
S&P Futures' value changed compared to S&P 500, S&P 500's 1842 now = S&P Future's 1837 (previously 1836)
We also mentioned earlier that S&P Futures built strong resistance @ 1839= S&P 500's 1844

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1842 & 1844 or S&P Futures 1837 & 1839 if it stays below & drops further again
Risk: Stocks might suddenly break above & go higher again, but looks weak for now, support remains at S&P 500's 1840 although slightly broken & weakened
Trading continues to be riskier as stocks are trying to go higher but facing strong resistances

Stock Market update

S&P Futures broke above 1836 even before the market opened, which was too soon
Most stocks dropped after the market opened as they're too high
S&P Futures built strong resistance @ 1839 & dropped sharply to 1834, S&P 500 also broke slightly below possible support @ 1840
It will be much more difficult for stocks to go higher today

Trading risk increased, market is bearish for now without any strong supports, avoid trading for now to be safer, unless it rebounds strongly & goes higher

Trading signals to watch

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1840 & 1842 (S&P Futures around 1834 & 1836) if it breaks above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1834 for end of day expiration (High risk speculative signal as it's not confirmed if it can stay above yet)
1842 was yesterday's resistance but is slightly broken, making it possibly easier to break above & go higher today
Resistance remains as S&P Futures dropped below 1836 after the market closed & looks weak for now
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1836 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes or less expiration
It might be safer not to sell near or after the stock market opens at 9:30am EST as it often goes up after that

Buy S&P 500 @ 1837- win

Previous signal & analysis:
Stocks are too high, yet still possible to go higher
S&P 500 should go higher & target 1840
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1837 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Risk: 1837 not a strong confirmed support yet & might drop later

Update:
The stock market is weaker than expected in the 1st 30 minutes, but S&P 500 still remains above 1837
Trading risk increased, small resistance @ 1838 getting stronger, avoid trading to be safer if it cannot go higher or trade at higher risk

Result: win
S&P 500 dropped to 1837 at 10am EST & went higher, even breaking above 1838 to expire @ 1838.89 at 10:30am EST
At first it looked weak, but our prediction was correct even though it wasn't confirmed yet as 1837 turned out to be the lowest & best buying point of the day
S&P 500 also went higher & reached target 1840 as expected, even broke above & closed @ 1842.02

Next target should be 1850 before end of the year 2013, but there's also possible profit taking near/after the end of the year
Look to buy S&P 500 below 1850 these few days if it continues to go higher




Thursday 26 December 2013

S&P 500 update

The stock market is weaker than expected in the 1st 30 minutes, but S&P 500 still remains above 1837
Trading risk increased, small resistance @ 1838 getting stronger, avoid trading to be safer if it cannot go higher or trade at higher risk

Buy S&P 500 @ 1837

Stocks are too high, yet still possible to go higher
S&P 500 should go higher & target 1840
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1837 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Risk: 1837 not a strong confirmed support yet & might drop later

Unemployment Claims update

Unemployment Claims        
Actual: 338K    Estimate: 346K    Previous: 380K

US economic news 26 December 2013

8:30am
Unemployment Claims

Tuesday 24 December 2013

Buy Facebook @ 57.0- win

Buy Facebook @ 57.0 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
Facebook expired @ 57.335 at 11:30am EST & went higher until 58.0


Buy S&P 500 @ 1830- win

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
S&P 500 broke above resistance 1830 & is trying to stay above & go higher

Result: win
S&P 500 expired @ 1831.73 at 10:30am EST & kept going higher until 1833


Buy S&P Futures @ 1823- 2 wins, Sell S&P Futures @ 1824- 1 win

Previous signals:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1820-1823 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1824 if it stays below & drops further
Sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1823- 2 wins
S&P Futures expired @ 1823.65 at 9am EST & 1824.45 at 10am EST
(Time shown in S&P Futures chart is EST+13hours)

Sell S&P Futures @ 1824- 1 win
S&P Futures expired @ 1823.45 at 9:30am EST


Sell S&P 500 @ 1830- invalid
S&P 500 broke above 1830 at 9:38am EST, signal became invalid as it did not stay below
We also mentioned earlier that the stock market became stronger after better than expected economic news, therefore not really safe to sell even after it dropped back


Buy Facebook @ 57.0

Buy Facebook @ 57.0 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 broke above resistance 1830 & is trying to stay above & go higher

US economic reports update

HPI m/m
Actual: 0.5%   Estimate: 0.5%   Previous: 0.2%
New Home Sales
Actual: 464K   Estimate: 449K   Previous: 444K
Richmond Manufacturing Index
Actual: 13   Estimate:15   Previous: 13

Stock Market Analysis

The stock market was weaker yesterday but still managed to close above opening price
S&P Futures' recent supports @ 1821.65 & 1821.95, resistance @ 1824
No strong supports found yet & resistance is stronger
The stock market still looks weak today but is staying above 1820
After better than expected economic news @ 8:30am EST, S&P Futures became stronger & jumped from 1823 to 1823.65 but dropped back to 1823

Trading will be at a higher risk today
Buy S&P Futures @ 1820-1823 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1824 if it stays below & drops further
Sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further

Economic news might continue to affect & change market direction later
US stock market will close early at 1pm EST today & is closed tomorrow on Christmas

US economic reports

8:30am
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Durable Goods Orders m/m

9:00am
HPI m/m

10:00am
New Home Sales
Richmond Manufacturing Index

Monday 23 December 2013

Sell/Buy Apple @ 570- 4 wins at higher risk

Previous signal to watch:
Apple has finally officially announced deal to sell iPhones in China with China Mobile
Apple's CEO also promised big plans for 2014 & will have a lot to look forward to in 2014

Apple jumped from 549 to 566.65 even before the market opened
Possible support @ 550 but might be too low
No other supports found yet but Apple might still be able to go higher even though it's already too high
Possible resistance @ 570 which might turn into new support if it breaks above, stays above & goes higher

Look to sell Apple @ 570 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy Apple @ 550 or 570 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Results: Sell Apple @ 570- 2 wins at higher risk (sell as high as possible)
Apple's price movement near 570 is quite small, trade at a higher risk
Apple opened @ 568, a little too low from 570, couldn't drop further below 563 & only reached 570 again near end of day
Sell Apple for it to expire @ 566.80 at 10am EST & 569.46 at 3pm EST

Buy Apple @ 570- 2 wins at higher risk (buy as low as possible)
Buy Apple @ 570 at higher risk near end of day
Market was closing, risk increased as Apple stayed too close @ 570 & it was too late for Apple to go higher today
Apple only barely stayed above 570 & couldn't go higher, it also dropped slightly below 570
Still, Apple managed to expire slightly above 570 @ 570.344 at 3:30pm EST & 570.09 at 4pm EST
Watch Apple @ 570 to see if it can go higher tomorrow


Buy S&P Futures @ 1819-1820- 2 wins

Previous Analysis & Signals to watch:
Stocks are still trying to go higher despite being too high
Market sentiment is positive & economic news is expected to be better

S&P Futures opened @ 1819 & built support @ 1819.15, 1819.65 & 1820.45
It might drop back to test 1819, but is currently staying above 1820
Possible resistance @ 1823 (1822.65) but might just be temporary

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1819-1820 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Update:
US economic data were only in line with expectations, personal income slightly worse than expected
Stocks should pullback for now
S&P Futures building more resistance @ 1823.65

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1819-1820- 2 wins
Support @ 1820.45 broken, stronger support @ 1819.65 confirmed as it did not drop further below
S&P Futures dropped to 1819.65 & rebounded to expire @ 1820.95 at 10:30pm EST
(Time shown in charts are EST+13hours)


S&P Futures dropped to 1819.65 & rebounded again to expire @ 1821.15 at 2:30pm EST


US economic reports update

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
Actual: 82.5   Estimate: 82.9   Previous: 82.5
Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
Actual: 3.0%    Previous:3.0%

Apple & China Mobile signed iPhone deal

Apple has finally officially announced deal to sell iPhones in China with China Mobile
Apple's CEO also promised big plans for 2014 & will have a lot to look forward to in 2014

Apple jumped from 549 to 566.65 even before the market opened
Possible support @ 550 but might be too low
No other supports found yet but Apple might still be able to go higher even though it's already too high
Possible resistance @ 570 which might turn into new support if it breaks above, stays above & goes higher

Look to sell Apple @ 570 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy Apple @ 550 or 570 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P Futures update

US economic data were only in line with expectations, personal income slightly worse than expected
Stocks should pullback for now
S&P Futures building more resistance @ 1823.65

US economic reports update

Core PCE Price Index m/m
Actual: 0.1%   Estimate: 0.1%    Previous: 0.1%
Personal Spending m/m
Actual: 0.5%   Estimate: 0.5%    Previous: 0.3%
Personal Income m/m
Actual: 0.2%   Estimate: 0.4%    Previous: -0.1%

Stock Market Analysis

Stocks are still trying to go higher despite being too high
Market sentiment is positive & economic news is expected to be better

S&P Futures opened @ 1819 & built support @ 1819.15, 1819.65 & 1820.45
It might drop back to test 1819, but is currently staying above 1820
Possible resistance @ 1823 (1822.65) but might just be temporary

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1819-1820 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

US economic reports 23 December 2013

8:30am
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Personal Spending m/m
Personal Income m/m

9:55am
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
Revised UoM Inflation Expectations    

Friday 20 December 2013

Buy Apple @ 550- 1 win, invalid later

Buy Apple @ 550 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: 1 win, invalid later
Buy Apple @ 550 (as low as possible)
Apple only managed to stay above 550 at 11:30am EST, expiring @ 550.67 but dropped below & failed to stayed above anymore
Signal became invalid later after Apple failed to stay above & go higher

Apple is unexpectedly weak today as it stayed barely below 550, closed below 550 & dropped further after-market, even when the stock market (S&P 500) kept going higher
Watch Apple @ 550 for resistance on Monday, sell if it continues to be weak, stays below 550 & drops further


Buy/Sell S&P 500 @ 1810, 1813- 6 wins

Previous analysis & signals to watch:
Although S&P 500's 1810 still remains as a resistance as S&P 500 failed to stay above 1810 & closed @ 1809.60,
S&P 500 is getting stronger & will try to break & stay above 1810 again

Watch S&P 500 @ 1810 & 1813 to see if it's strong enough to break & stay above 1810 today, next possible resistance @ 1813 which was the highest point reached before, but will also be at risk as S&P 500 is trying to go higher

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1810 or 1813 (or S&P Futures' 1804, 1807) if it breaks & stays above 1810, going higher
We expect S&P 500 to break above 1810 & even 1813 today, reaching a new all-time high, but it'll depend on strong market movement
However, we still have to cover other possibilities in case S&P 500 is weaker than expected

Look to sell @ 1810 or 1813 (high risk, resistances might be broken later, use shorter expiration of 5-15 minutes) if it's weaker, stays below & drops further
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1800 or higher if it drops near 1800, rebounds & goes higher
S&P 500 dropped to 1801.59 & rebounded higher yesterday

All for 30 minutes expiration except sell @ 1810, 1813- 5-15 minutes expiration

Results:
S&P 500/Futures was weaker before the market opened so we'll trade S&P Futures instead as S&P 500 was not available before 9:30am EST
S&P 500's 1810, 1813= S&P Futures' 1804, 1807 as stated

Sell S&P 500 @ 1810= S&P Futures @ 1804 if it drops further- 1 win
S&P Futures dropped further from 1804 (S&P 500's 1810) to expire @ 1802.95 at 7:30am EST, staying below all the time between 5-15 minutes
(Time shown in S&P Futures charts are EST+13 hours)

S&P Futures quickly rebounded back up to break above 1804
Buy S&P 500 @ 1810= S&P Futures' 1804 if it stays above & goes higher- 1 win
S&P Futures broke above 1804 & went higher to expire @ 1806 at 9am EST, helped by better than expected economic data


More possible wins trading slightly lower/higher than target prices at higher risk
Sell S&P 500 @ 1813= S&P Futures @ 1807 if it stays below & drops further- 1 win at higher risk
Sell S&P Futures slightly below 1807 (highest point @ 1806.45, sell slightly lower) as it stayed below & dropped to expire @ 1805.65 at 8:50am EST, also staying below between 5-15 minutes
Buy S&P 500 @ 1810= S&P Futures' 1804 if it stays above & goes higher- 1 win at higher risk
Buy S&P Futures slightly above 1804 (lowest point @ 1804.65, buy slightly higher) as it stayed above & went higher to expire @ 1811.15 at 10am EST



S&P 500 became stronger when the market opened & broke above 1810 & even 1813 as we expected, breaking records & reaching a new all-time high
Buy S&P 500 @ 1810, 1813- 2 wins
S&P 500 broke above 1810 & 1813 & went higher to expire @ 1817.03 at 10am EST
S&P 500 also continued to go higher for the rest of the day, reaching record highs before finding resistance @ 1824 & dropped due to profit taking at the end of the day
Watch S&P 500's resistance @ 1824 on Monday, sell S&P 500 @ 1824 if it still fails to break above & drops further


Buy Apple @ 550

Buy Apple @ 550 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

US economic reports update

Final GDP q/q
Actual: 4.1%   Estimate: 3.6%   Previous: 3.6%
Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 2.0%   Estimate: 2.0%   Previous: 2.0%

US economic reports 20 December 2013

8:30am
Final GDP q/q
Final GDP Price Index q/q

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1810 or 1813

Although S&P 500's 1810 still remains as a resistance as S&P 500 failed to stay above 1810 & closed @ 1809.60,
S&P 500 is getting stronger & will try to break & stay above 1810 again

Watch S&P 500 @ 1810 & 1813 to see if it's strong enough to break & stay above 1810 today, next possible resistance @ 1813 which was the highest point reached before, but will also be at risk as S&P 500 is trying to go higher

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1810 or 1813 (or S&P Futures' 1804, 1807) if it breaks & stays above 1810, going higher
We expect S&P 500 to break above 1810 & even 1813 today, reaching a new all-time high, but it'll depend on strong market movement 
However, we still have to cover other possibilities in case S&P 500 is weaker than expected

Look to sell @ 1810 or 1813 (high risk, resistances might be broken later, use shorter expiration of 5-15 minutes) if it's weaker, stays below & drops further
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1800 or higher if it drops near 1800, rebounds & goes higher
S&P 500 dropped to 1801.59 & rebounded higher yesterday

All for 30 minutes expiration except sell @ 1810, 1813- 5-15 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1804- 6 wins at higher risk

Previous signal: 
High risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1804 if it stays below & drops further again, for 30 minutes expiration or less

S&P Futures dropped from 1806.45 & further below 1804 (S&P 500's 1810) as it failed to stay above 1804 after the market closed yesterday
S&P Futures tried to reach 1804 again but dropped several times @ 1803.65, showing that it still couldn't break above 1804
Risk: S&P Futures might try to break above 1804 again

Results: Sell S&P Futures @ 1804- 6 wins at higher risk
S&P Futures broke slightly above 1804 but failed to stay above again, sell after it failed & dropped further for it to expire @ 1802.95 at 8am EST (Time shown in chart is EST+13 hours)
It also dropped even further after worse than expected Unemployment Claims at 8:30am EST


Trading further later in the day will be at a higher risk as the trend changed & it kept trying to break above 1804 again
Not really recommended but still possible to win if you sell at the right price
S&P Futures failed to stay above 1804 & expired @ 1803.65 at 2pm EST
Sell slightly lower below 1803.65 at higher risk after it also failed to stay above & dropped further below 1803.65  @ 1801.45 at 2:30pm EST


3 more possible wins at higher risk, it would be safer to sell after it drops further below 1804
S&P Futures expired 3 times at the same price @ 1802.45 at 3:30pm EST & 4pm EST


Thursday 19 December 2013

US economic reports update

Existing Home Sales        
Actual: 4.90M    Estimate: 5.04M    Previous: 5.12M
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index        
Actual: 7.0    Estimate: 10.3    Previous: 6.5
CB Leading Index m/m        
Actual: 0.8%    Estimate: 0.7%    Previous: 0.1%

Unemployment Claims update

Unemployment Claims  (higher= bad for economy)
Actual: 379K    Estimate: 336K    Previous: 369K

US economic reports 19 December 2013

8:30am
Unemployment Claims

10:00am
Existing Home Sales
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
CB Leading Index m/m

Sell S&P Futures @ 1804

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1804 if it stays below & drops further again, for 30 minutes expiration or less

S&P Futures dropped from 1806.45 & further below 1804 (S&P 500's 1810) as it failed to stay above 1804 after the market closed yesterday
S&P Futures tried to reach 1804 again but dropped several times @ 1803.65, showing that it still couldn't break above 1804
Risk: S&P Futures might try to break above 1804 again

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800- invalid/ lost

Previous signal:
High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Possible resistance @ 1800 although not confirmed yet

Result: signal is invalid as possible resistance @ 1800 cannot be confirmed when it did not drop further but broke above 1800 instead
We'll still count it as a loss anyway

S&P 500's next possible & stronger resistance @ 1810 was also slightly broken as S&P 500 kept breaking above resistances without strong supports even though it's too high, jumping from 1775.87 to 1810.65 after Fed's statement
However, S&P Futures showed that S&P 500 failed to stay above 1810 after the market closed
S&P Futures dropped from 1806.45 & further below 1804 (S&P 500's 1810)


Watch Apple @ 550 tomorrow

Watch Apple @ 550 for possible support tomorrow as it dropped too low to 540 today yet managed to rebound strongly & closed slightly above 550
It should also try to reach 555 & will break above if it's strong enough tomorrow

Look to buy Apple @ 550 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell Apple @ 550- win

Previous signal:
Sell Apple @ 550 or lower if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Apple & China Mobile deal was expected to be announced today but China Mobile said that the deal has not been made yet
Risk: Apple is too low & might try to rebound higher later

Result: Sell Apple @ 550 or lower- win
Sell Apple lower than 550 but not too low (around 548) after it tried & failed to break above 548 & dropped further
Apple expired @ 545.14 at 11am EST
Apple also continued to drop until 540 before rebounding higher later


Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 3 wins

Previous Analysis & Signals to watch:
S&P Futures resistance remains @ 1780 as it broke slightly above it but quickly dropped further below to 1776
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further again, for 30 minutes expiration or less

Trading risk increased today because of FOMC statement & press conference later at 2pm & 2:30pm EST
Trade with extra caution today

Result: Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 3 wins
Sell S&P Futures slightly lower than 1780 (around 1778) as it failed @ 1778.65 & dropped sharply to 1775.45
It also dropped again from 1778.45 a few more times & confirmed that it couldn't go higher to even reach 1780 anymore

S&P Futures dropped further to expire @ 1776.15 at 10am EST, 1777 at 10:30am EST & 1776.45 at 11am EST
(Time shown in chart is EST+13hours)


Wednesday 18 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Possible resistance @ 1800 although not confirmed yet

Fed tapered QE to $75 billion

The Fed started a small taper, reducing QE from $85 billion to $75 billion per month, based on improved job market outlook

Sell S&P 500 @ 1785

Sell S&P 500 @ 1785 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

There was a chance for it to break above 1785 at 10:42am EST but it failed & dropped sharply to its lowest since the market opened

This should confirm that it won't be able to break above 1785 anymore before FOMC statement at 2pm EST
Trade before 1pm EST to be even safer

US economic reports update 10am EST

Flash Services PMI        
Actual: 56.0    Estimate: 56.4    Previous: 55.9

Sell Apple @ 550

Sell Apple @ 550 or lower if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Apple & China Mobile deal was expected to be announced today but China Mobile said that the deal has not been made yet
Risk: Apple is too low & might try to rebound higher later

US economic reports update

Building Permits        
Actual: 1.01M    Estimate: 0.99M    Previous: 1.04M
Housing Starts
Actual: 1.09M    Estimate: 0.95M    Previous: 0.89M
Housing Starts (Sep Data)        
Actual: 0.87M    Estimate: 0.91M    Previous: 0.88M
Housing Starts (Oct Data)
Actual: 0.89M    Estimate: 0.92M    Previous: 0.87M

US economic events 18 December 2013

8:30am
Building Permit
Housing Starts
Housing Starts (Sep Data)
Housing Starts (Oct Data)

10:00am
Flash Services PMI

2:00pm
FOMC Economic Projections
FOMC Statement
Federal Funds Rate

2:30pm
FOMC Press Conference

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures resistance remains @ 1780 as it broke slightly above it but quickly dropped further below to 1776
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further again, for 30 minutes expiration or less

Trading risk increased today because of FOMC statement & press conference later at 2pm & 2:30pm EST
Trade with extra caution today

Tuesday 17 December 2013

Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 1 win, Sell S&P Futures @ 1783-1 win

Previous analysis & signals to watch:
S&P Futures hit 1780 when stock market closed at 4pm EST yesterday
It tried to stay above several times today but failed

Watch S&P Futures @ 1780 as it'll try to break & stay above again
Stronger resistance @ 1783 yesterday, which was S&P 500's 1790 yesterday
Highest point reached yesterday was 1785 (S&P 500's 1792)
No strong resistance confirmed for today yet

Fed's meeting today & tomorrow, with FOMC statement tomorrow, the market should be cautious not to go too high
But the market is still trying to go higher without strong supports, wait for it to fail & drop further below before selling

Results: 
Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 1 win (4 more at higher risk)
Sell S&P Futures @ 1783- 1 win

Resistance 1783 confirmed after S&P Futures failed to go higher above 1783 as it dropped further below 1783 to expire @ 1781 at 9am EST (Time shown in charts are EST+13hours)
Resistance 1780 confirmed as S&P Futures also dropped below 1780 & expired @ 1777.65 at 10am EST


4 more possible wins selling at higher risk below 1780 (below 1779 & 1778) after it dropped further below as it couldn't even reach 1780 anymore later


Stocks to watch: Boeing & Facebook

Boeing increased its dividend & authorized a $10 billion stock buyback
Boeing jumped from 134.72 to 138 pre-market
Facebook will begin selling video ads
Facebook up from 53.81 to 54.79 pre-market

But Boeing is currently facing resistance @ 137 & Facebook facing resistance @ 55.0 as the stock market is falling
No strong supports found since then, possible supports @ 135 for Boeing & 54.0 for Facebook but stocks did not reach that far below for us to trade them
No more safe trading signals today as we should be buying Boeing & Facebook but the stock market is falling & pulling them down, making it difficult for them to go higher above 137 & 55.0

Very high risk trades would be to buy Boeing @ 137 or Facebook @ 55.0 if they break above & go higher, sell if they fail & drop further again
Too risky to trade & not recommended

US economic reports update

Core CPI m/m
Actual: 0.2%    Estimate: 0.1%    Previous: 0.1%             
CPI m/m        
Actual: 0.0%    Estimate: 0.1%    Previous: -0.1%
Current Account        
Actual: -95B    Estimate: -101B   Previous:  -99B

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures hit 1780 when stock market closed at 4pm EST yesterday
It tried to stay above several times today but failed

Watch S&P Futures @ 1780 as it'll try to break & stay above again
Stronger resistance @ 1783 yesterday, which was S&P 500's 1790 yesterday
Highest point reached yesterday was 1785 (S&P 500's 1792)
No strong resistance confirmed for today yet

Fed's meeting today & tomorrow, with FOMC statement tomorrow, the market should be cautious not to go too high
But the market is still trying to go higher without strong supports, wait for it to fail & drop further below before selling

US economic reports 17 December 2013

8:30am
Core CPI m/m
CPI m/m
Current Account

10:00am
NAHB Housing Market Index

Monday 16 December 2013

Sell Apple @ 560- 3 wins

Sell Apple @ 560 or lower (or 562 stronger resistance) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results: 3 wins
Apple also broke & stayed above 560 earlier so we waited for it to weaken & drop further below 560
Apple went up again & broke slightly above 560 but dropped back below & further, confirming support @ 560 was turned into resistance
Apple expired @ 559.37 at 2:30pm EST, 559.45 at 3pm EST & 557.20 at 3:30pm EST
Apple also closed @ 557.50


Sell S&P 500 @ 1790- 1 win or more at higher risk

Sell S&P 500 @ 1790 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Results: 1 win or more at higher risk
S&P 500 did broke above 1790 at the beginning, so we were cautious & waited for it to weaken until we believe it couldn't break above 1790 anymore
Safest would be to sell slightly below 1790 after it couldn't even reach 1790 again anymore, for it to expire @ 1787.42 at 3:30pm EST

More possible wins selling @ 1788 but risk is higher
1788 was also quite a resistance but not strong enough
S&P 500 also closed @ 1786.54 at the end of the day


Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 1 win

Previous Analysis & Signals to watch:
S&P Futures dropped from 1775 to 1758 & rebounded up to 1780 & dropped before economic news 1780 current resistance & possible turning point after economic news
1780 was also Friday's resistance & 20 points above 1758 which is too high
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Results: Sell S&P Futures @ 1780: 1 win
S&P Futures reached its highest @ 1779.15 twice, staying slightly below 1780 & dropped further to expire @ 1778.35 at 9am EST (Time shown in chart is EST+13hours)
After it rebounded strongly at market opening 9:30am EST & went higher above 1780, it's not safe to trade it anymore


S&P Futures dropped from 1775 to 1758 & rebounded up to 1780 & dropped before economic news
1780 current resistance & possible turning point after economic news
1780 was also Friday's resistance & 20 points above 1758 which is too high

Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration - See more at: http://freebinaryoptionstradingsignals.blogspot.com/#sthash.GyAO4TcY.dpuf

Sell Apple @ 560

Sell Apple @ 560 or lower (or 562 stronger resistance) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1790

Sell S&P 500 @ 1790 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

US economic reports update 9:15am EST

Capacity Utilization Rate        
Actual: 79.0%    Estimate: 78.5%    Previous: 78.1%
Industrial Production m/m        
Actual: 1.1%   Estimate:  0.6%    Previous: -0.1%

US economic reports update 9am EST

Flash Manufacturing PMI
Actual: 54.4    Estimate: 54.9    Previous: 54.7
TIC Long-Term Purchases        
Actual: 35.4B    Estimate: 31.4B    Previous: 25.5B

US economic reports update 8:30am EST

Empire State Manufacturing Index
Actual: 1.0    Estimate: 4.9    Previous: -2.2
Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q        
Actual: 3.0%    Estimate: 2.9%    Previous: 1.9%
Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q        
Actual: -1.4%    Estimate: -1.5%    Previous: -0.6%

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures dropped from 1775 to 1758 & rebounded up to 1780 & dropped before economic news
1780 current resistance & possible turning point after economic news
1780 was also Friday's resistance & 20 points above 1758 which is too high

Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

US economic reports 16 December 2013

8:30am
Empire State Manufacturing Index
Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q
Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q

9:00am
Flash Manufacturing PMI
TIC Long-Term Purchases

9:15am
Capacity Utilization Rate
Industrial Production m/m

Saturday 14 December 2013

Buy Boeing @ 133.0- 3 wins buying at higher risk @ 133.3

Previous signal:
Buy Boeing @ 133.0 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

The US Defense Department announced that Boeing won orders worth up to $873 million for fighter planes system upgrades

Result: 3 wins buying at higher risk @ 133.3 lowest point
Although Boeing did not drop to 133.0 for stronger support, it's possible to win at higher risk buying around its lowest point @ 133.3
Boeing expired @ 133.38 at 11am EST, 133.82 at 12:30pm EST & 133.475 at 2:30pm EST
Boeing also went up higher to close @ 133.83


Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 2 wins

Previous S&P Futures Analysis & signals to watch:
S&P Futures dropped to 1773.45 but found support @ 1774 to rebound strongly until 1783 & drop
Resistance remains @ 1783 but might be broken above today as momentum is strong & it's staying above trend line

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1783 if it breaks above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it drops further below to break the uptrend, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Trading during news would be highly risky

Results: Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- 2 wins
S&P Futures failed to break above 1783 then broke below trend line & 1780 after being further weakened by worse than expected economic data at 8:30am EST
S&P Futures dropped below 1780 & expired @ 1778.15 at 9am EST (Time shown in charts are EST+13hours)



Then it tried to stay above 1780 but failed & dropped again to 1775.45 at 10am EST
S&P Futures also stayed below 1780 for the rest of the day


Friday 13 December 2013

Buy FB @ 52.0- 2 wins

Previous signals to watch: (Posted yesterday)
Facebook found support @ 51.0 & also went higher to reach 52.0 later but found resistance @ 52.0 as it was too high for today & closed @ 51.83
Watch FB @ 51.0 & 52.0 tomorrow again, look to buy @ 51.0 support if it stays above & goes higher, sell @ 52.0 resistance if it stays below & drops further
It's also possible for FB to break above resistance tomorrow, look to buy @ 52.0 if it breaks above, stays above & goes higher

Results: Buy FB @ 52.0- 2 wins
Facebook continued to have strong momentum & went higher to break & stay above 52.0 resistance
Facebook expired @ 52.19 at 10:30am EST & 52.585 at 11am EST
There were also more possible wins buying at higher prices as FB continued to go higher almost every 30 minutes to close @ 53.32




Buy Boeing @ 133.0

Buy Boeing @ 133.0 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

The US Defense Department announced that Boeing won orders worth up to $873 million for fighter planes system upgrades

S&P Futures update

S&P Futures is staying above 1777 & trying to rebound & go higher

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures dropped to 1773.45 but found support @ 1774 to rebound strongly until 1783 & drop
Resistance remains @ 1783 but might be broken above today as momentum is strong & it's staying above trend line

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1783 if it breaks above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 if it drops further below to break the uptrend, for less than 30 minutes expiration
Trading during news would be highly risky

US economic reports update

PPI m/m        
Actual: -0.1%    Estimate: 0.0%    Previous: -0.2%
Core PPI m/m        
Actual: 0.1%    Estimate: 0.1%    Previous: 0.2%

US economic reports 13 December 2013

8:30am
PPI m/m
Core PPI m/m

Buy S&P 500 @ 1780- invalid, Sell S&P 500 @ 1780- 4 wins

Previous Stock Market Analysis:
Although stock futures showed resistance @ 1782, 1783 & stock continue to be weak, even dropping to 1776 earlier,
watch S&P 500/S&P Futures @ 1780 for a possible stronger rebound today if it stays above & goes higher, sell if it fails & drops further
Trading during news would be highly risky

Stock Market Analysis after opening:
Too risky to buy as S&P 500 failed to rebound strongly & dropped below 1783 (1782.83)
It also dropped below 1780 near 10am EST's economic news & was further weakened by worse than expected Business Inventories at 10am EST

Although stronger resistance remain @ 1782.22, yesterday's closing price,
it's still possible to sell S&P 500 @ 1780 after it failed, stayed below & dropped further

S&P 500 also rebounded @ 1772.65 although it's not a strong support, went higher to break above 1780 several times, trying to stay above but failed & finally dropped to close @ 1775.50

Results:
Buy S&P 500 @ 1780- invalid as it failed to rebound stronger, it also dropped below 1780
Sell S&P 500 @ 1780- 4 wins
S&P 500 dropped below 1780 & expired @ 1778.07 at 10:30am EST, 1779.18 at 11am EST, 1777.39 at 11:30am EST & 1775.50 at 4pm EST



Thursday 12 December 2013

Watch Facebook @ 51.0 & 52.0 tomorrow

Facebook found support @ 51.0 & also went higher to reach 52.0 later but found resistance @ 52.0 as it was too high for today & closed @ 51.83
Watch FB @ 51.0 & 52.0 tomorrow again, look to buy @ 51.0 support if it stays above & goes higher, sell @ 52.0 resistance if it stays below & drops further
It's also possible for FB to break above resistance tomorrow, look to buy @ 52.0 if it breaks above, stays above & goes higher

Buy FB @ 51.0- 2 wins

Previous Stocks/Trading signals to watch:
Facebook will be added to S&P 500 after the market closes on 20 December 2013, which is a vote of confidence as Facebook met S&P's requirements
Facebook’s market value has more than doubled this year to $123 billion

FB jumped from 49.38 to 51.35 but might be too high without strong supports
Possible support @ 50.0 or 51.0 but not confirmed yet, look to buy if it stays above & goes higher

Result: Buy FB @ 51.0- won
FB stayed around 51.0 for a while, dropped slightly below 51.0 but rebounded back up to 51.0, stayed above & went higher to expire @ 51.265 at 11am EST
It also dropped to 51.08 at 12:34pm EST but stayed above 51.0 & rebounded to go higher again, expiring @ 51.23 at 1pm EST


Buy S&P Futures @ 1780- 2 wins

Buy S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Results: 2 wins (calculated using less than 30 minutes expiration, 5-15 minutes)
S&P Futures jumped after economic news at 8:30am EST to expire @ 1783.65 at 8:45am EST & dropped to 1783.45 at 9am EST
(Signal issued at 8:40am EST after it broke above 1780 & was going higher)
(Time shown in chart is EST+13hours)

S&P Futures then dropped slightly below 1780, showing weakness & resistance @ 1783.65, but still managed to reach & expire @ 1782.45 at 9:35am EST then dropped to expire @ 1781 at 9:45am EST, showing more weakness as it stayed below 1783

After S&P Futures dropped below 1780 & couldn't rebound higher, further weakened by worse than expected Business Inventories at 10am EST, it wasn't safe to buy anymore


Business Inventories update

Business Inventories m/m (Higher= worse)
Actual: 0.7%    Estimate: 0.4%    Previous: 0.6%

Stocks to watch- Facebook

Facebook will be added to S&P 500 after the market closes on 20 December 2013, which is a vote of confidence as Facebook met S&P's requirements
Facebook’s market value has more than doubled this year to $123 billion

FB jumped from 49.38 to 51.35 but might be too high without strong supports
Possible support @ 50.0 or 51.0 but not confirmed yet, look to buy if it stays above & goes higher

Buy S&P Futures @ 1780

Buy S&P Futures @ 1780 if it stays above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Unemployment claims higher & worse than expected, other economic data are mostly better than expected, stocks should go up

US economic reports update

Core Retail Sales m/m       
Actual: 0.4%    Estimate: 0.2%    Previous: 0.2%            
Retail Sales m/m       
Actual: 0.7%    Estimate: 0.6%    Previous: 0.4%
Unemployment Claims       
Actual: 368K    Estimate: 321K    Previous: 298K
Import Prices m/m       
Actual: -0.6%    Estimate: -0.7%   Previous:  -0.7%

Stock Market Analysis

Yesterday, stocks fell due to concerns that the federal budget deal (yet to be approved) will increase the chances of the Fed to start tapering next week
Today, the market will focus on unemployment claims data which might further support the idea of tapering & other economic news if the economy can handle a small taper

Although stock futures showed resistance @ 1782, 1783 & stock continue to be weak, even dropping to 1776 earlier,
watch S&P 500/S&P Futures @ 1780 for a possible stronger rebound today if it stays above & goes higher, sell if it fails & drops further
Trading during news would be highly risky

S&P 500 dropped too much in 1 day (20points) & is too low
S&P 500 also rebounded strongly the last 2 times it dropped to 1780
Also watch S&P 500 @ 1800 for resistance if it reaches 1800 & drops as it would be too high for today

S&P Futures should stay around 1780 as turning point until economic news
Economic news might be the deciding factor if stocks go up or down for the rest of the day

US economic news 12 December 2013

8:30am
Core Retail Sales m/m
Retail Sales m/m
Unemployment Claims
Import Prices m/m

10:00am
Business Inventories m/m

Wednesday 11 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 or lower- won

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 or lower if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: won
Strong downtrend confirmed after S&P 500 dropped below 1800 to 1795.6 then dropped further to 1794
Selling at any point lower than 1800 for 30 minutes expiration at 10:30am EST would be a win as S&P 500 expired @ 1791.99

It also continued to drop further until 1780 & rebounded weakly to close @ 1782.22



Sell Mastercard @ 800- 2 wins

Previous signals to watch:
Look to buy Mastercard @ 800 if it stays above & doesn't drop below anymore, for 30 minutes expiration
Risks: 800 is too high so it might stay closely around 800 or might even drop if it fails to stay above 800
The stock market is weak & might also affect Mastercard's stock

Look to sell Mastercard @ 800 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Risks: News will attract more people to buy Mastercard & it might try to break above 800 again

Results:
Buy Mastercard @ 800- invalid as it did not stay above
Sell Mastercard @ 800- 2 wins
Mastercard failed to stay above 800 & dropped to expire @ 796.258 at 10:30am EST & 797.33 at 11am EST
It also dropped further to close @ 790.57


Sell S&P 500 @ 1800

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 or lower if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

1800 is a possible psychological resistance
Risks: It might try to break above again later as 1800 is a very important level

Watch Mastercard @ 800

Mastercard approved a stock split via a stock dividend and authorized a $3.5 billion buyback
Mastercard  jumped from 763.82 to 800

Look to buy Mastercard @ 800 if it stays above & doesn't drop below anymore, for 30 minutes expiration
Risks: 800 is too high so it might stay closely around 800 or might even drop if it fails to stay above 800
The stock market is weak & might also affect Mastercard's stock

Look to sell Mastercard @ 800 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Risks: News will attract more people to buy Mastercard & it might try to break above 800 again

Trading Mastercard will be high risk, trade cautiously or avoid if you're uncertain

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures rebounded from 1803 & reached 1808 but dropped again to 1799 before rebounding again
Although it's trying to go higher, it looks very weak, no strong supports found
It also found new temporary resistance @ 1804 but might change after the stock market opens @ 9:30am EST
It would be safer to sell today, look to sell S&P Futures @ 1808 if it fails to go higher & drops further
1808 was also yesterday's resistance

US economic news 11 December 2013

10:00am
Treasury Sec Lew Speaks
1:01pm
10-y Bond Auction
2:00pm
Federal Budget Balance

Tuesday 10 December 2013

Sell Netflix @ 364- 2 wins

High risk:
Sell Netflix @ 364 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Results:  2 wins
Sell Netflix @ 364 (363.83) for it to expire @ 362.873 at 2pm EST
Netflix also broke slightly above 364 at 3:34pm EST but failed to stay above & dropped further to expire @ 363.10 at 4pm EST

Selling Netflix was high risk as it stayed closely below 364
Although there were more possible high risk wins, they were too risky so we only chose to sell as high as possible to maximize our chances of winning



Sell Google @ 1090- 3 wins

Previous signal:
High risk:
Sell Google @ 1090 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Google is too high & should drop at least temporarily
Risk: It might break above again later, wait for it to fail & drop further

Results:  3 wins
Google failed to break above & dropped from 1090 to expire @ 1087.285 at 2pm EST & @ 1088.25 at 3pm EST
It also broke above again later as we expected, wait for it to fail & drop further below 1090 for it to expire @ 1084.66 at 4pm EST


Sell General Motors @ 41.0- won

Sell General Motors @ 41.0 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: won
GM dropped further & expired @ 40.71 at 12pm EST
It also dropped more to close @ 40.40


Buy S&P Futures @ 1806- lost

Previous signal:
High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1806 or slightly higher if it stays above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Result: lost (win if using less than 30 minutes expiration)
We issued signal after S&P Futures rebounded @ 1806 again & went higher to break above previous high
S&P Futures was expected to reach 1810
But it failed to go higher above 1808 & dropped from 1808 at 10:55am EST to expire @ 1806.15 at 11am EST & even dropped further below 1806 later
Although, using a less than 30 minutes expiration before 10:55am EST would be a win
(Time shown for S&P Futures is EST+13hours)

It turned out that S&P 500 found resistance @ yesterday's closing price 1808.37 (S&P Futures' 1808) & dropped, causing S&P Futures to drop too

Sell Netflix @ 364

High risk:
Sell Netflix @ 364 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Sell Google @ 1090

High risk:
Sell Google @ 1090 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Google is too high & should drop at least temporarily
Risk: It might break above again later, wait for it to fail & drop further

Sell General Motors @ 41.0

Sell General Motors @ 41.0 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1806

High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1806 or slightly higher if it stays above & goes higher, for less than 30 minutes expiration

US economic reports update

JOLTS Job Openings
Actual: 3.93M   Estimate: 3.96M    Previous: 3.91M
Wholesale Inventories m/m
Actual: 1.4%   Estimate: 0.3%    Previous: 0.4%

S&P Futures update

S&P Futures broke below possible support @ 1808.65 after slightly worse than expected economic news (NFIB Small Business Index) at 7:30am EST
Next possible support @ 1805, 1806.65
S&P Futures looks weak for now & might even drop further, not quite safe to trade
Buy at a higher risk or avoid trading for now

US economic reports update

NFIB Small Business Index       
Actual: 92.5    Estimate: 92.7    Previous: 91.6

Slightly worse than expected, S&P Futures possible support @ 1808.65 at risk

US economic news 10 December 2013

7:30am
NFIB Small Business Index

10:00am
JOLTS Job Openings
Wholesale Inventories m/m

S&P Futures Analysis

S&P Futures resistance @ 1811.15, possible support @ 1808.65
Look to sell @ resistance if it stays below & drops further, buy @ support if it stays above & goes higher
30 minutes expiration or less

S&P 500 Analysis

1810 remains a strong resistance as S&P 500 managed to break above 1810 but failed to go higher or stay above & dropped more at the end of the day
However, it showed some strength by not dropping below 1807 & going higher to close @ 1808.37, even after the Fed said that they might start tapering soon

The Fed might start a small taper soon but could also pause it later

Fed's Bullard: "A small taper might recognize labor market improvement while still providing the Committee the opportunity to carefully monitor inflation during the first half of 2014. Should inflation not return toward target, the Committee could pause tapering at subsequent meetings"

Fed's Fisher wants December taper, saying "It is time to taper" & that they should start tapering next week

S&P 500 new resistance @ 1811.2, new support @ 1807, both might change tomorrow as they're not quite significant
Watch S&P 500 @ 1810 again to see if it can break & stay above tomorrow
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1810 if it stays above & go higher, sell if it fails & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration


Monday 9 December 2013

Sell S&P 500 @ 1810- 5 wins

Previous signals:
Trading Signals to watch on Monday:
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1800 or higher if it stays above & goes higher
Look to sell S&P 500 @ 1806 or 1810 (next possible & stronger resistance) if it stays below & drops more
All for 30 minutes expiration

Results: Sell S&P 500 @ 1810- 5 wins
Although S&P 500 was too high above 1800 & 1810 was broken, you could still sell @ 1810 at a higher risk as it couldn't really stay above 1810
It would also be safer to sell S&P 500 @ 1810 after it fails to stay above & drops more below 1810

Sell S&P 500 @ 1810 for it to expire @
1807.81 at 10:30am EST
1808.87 at 12:30pm
1808.53 at 2:30pm
1808.57 at 3pm
1807.12 at 3:30pm