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Friday 28 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 below 1850- invalid

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 below 1850 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
Resistance @ 1850 was only temporary as S&P 500 broke above 1850 after 1pm EST & turned it into support

Watch S&P 500 @ 1850 tomorrow
Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it continues to stay above & go higher


Thursday 27 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 below 1850

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 below 1850 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Wednesday 26 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1852- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1852 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 stayed below 1852 & dropped sharply from 1852 to 1841.67 at 2:30pm EST


Sell S&P 500 @ 1852

Sell S&P 500 @ 1852 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Thursday 20 February 2014

Sell S&P Futures/S&P 500 below 1830

Sell S&P Futures or S&P 500 below 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1830- win

Buy S&P Futures slightly above 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: US economic data at 8:30am EST might affect it later 

Result:
S&P Futures jumped from 1830 to 1844 but dropped later due to worse than expected economic data
Avoid buying after it dropped below 1830 later

Wednesday 19 February 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1830

Buy S&P Futures slightly above 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: US economic data at 8:30am EST might affect it later

Sell S&P Futures @ 1840 Results

Sell S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
S&P Futures stayed below 1840 for the rest of the day
Sell slightly lower as it kept dropping from around 1839


Tuesday 18 February 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1840

Sell S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Friday 14 February 2014

Watch S&P Futures @ 1827 & S&P 500 @ 1830

Look to sell S&P Futures around 1827 or S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further

Resistance remains strong for now but might change after US economic data from 8:30am-9:55am EST


Sell S&P 500 @ 1830- 2 wins

Sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: 2 wins
S&P 500 tried to break above 1830 but dropped back below
Sell below 1830 as it continued its drop from 1830 to expire @ 1827.58 at 2:30pm EST
Sell again as it reached 1830 & drop again to expire @ 1828.29 at 3:30pm EST


Sell S&P 500 @ 1824- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1824 or 1826 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results: 1 possible win
Resistance @ 1824 but only temporarily as it built small support @ 1822 to go higher later
Sell slightly below 1824 as S&P 500 expired @ 1822.79 at 12:30pm EST
1826 invalid as it hesitated at 1826 for a while but went higher instead of dropping further below


Thursday 13 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1830

Sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1824

Sell S&P 500 @ 1824 or 1826 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1820 or 1822- 3 wins

Previous signal:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1820 or 1822 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Risk: It might break above later

Result: 3 wins
S&P 500 reached 1820 but only stayed barely below it from 12pm-1pm EST then broke above to 1822, not quite safe to trade yet
It's safer to sell @ 1822 as it dropped from 1822 to expire @ 1821.03 at 2pm EST
Sell S&P 500 @ 1820 after it dropped below further for it to expire @ 1817.39 at 3pm EST & 1819.26 at 4pm EST


Wednesday 12 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1820 or 1822

Sell S&P 500 @ 1820 or 1822 if it stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Risk: It might break above later

Tuesday 11 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800- win, Sell S&P Futures @ 1793- 3 wins at higher risk

Previous signals:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Higher risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1793 (S&P 500 around 1797) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: Sell S&P 500 @ 1800- win
S&P 500 reached 1800 & dropped to expire @ 1799.01 at 3pm EST


Sell S&P Futures @ 1793 (S&P 500 around 1797)- 3 wins at higher risk
S&P Futures dropped from around 1792-1793 which is around 1797 for S&P 500

S&P 500 chart shows a clearer picture which is more accurate
S&P 500 continued its drop from 1797 to 1793.37 at 11am EST, reached 1797 & dropped again to 1796.30 at 12pm EST & 1796.68 at 2pm EST
Stop selling after it broke above 1797 & went higher


Monday 10 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1788-1790- win at higher risk

Previous signal:
High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1788-1790 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 broke slightly above 1788 but dropped back

Result: win at higher risk
S&P 500 went up to 1790 & only stayed below 1790 for a few minutes, but it was enough for a win as it expired @ 1789.61 at 1:30pm EST, even though it broke above & went higher later
Stop selling after it broke above 1790


Sell S&P 500 @ 1800, Sell S&P Futures @ 1793

Sell S&P 500 @ 1800 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Higher risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1793 (S&P 500 around 1797) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Friday 7 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1788-1790

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1788-1790 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 broke slightly above 1788 but dropped back

Sell S&P 500 @ 1770- 3 wins

Sell S&P 500 @ 1770 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results: 3 wins at higher risk
S&P 500 broke slightly above 1770 but dropped back below for a few hours to expire @ 1770.05 at 12:30pm EST (Sell around 1770.31), 1768.96 at 1pm EST & 1766.98 at 1:30pm EST
Stop selling after it broke above 1770 & went higher to 1773


Thursday 6 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1770

Sell S&P 500 @ 1770 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1756- 2 wins

Sell S&P 500 @ 1756 (S&P Futures 1750) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: 2 wins
S&P 500 dropped to expire @ 1750.31 at 3pm EST & 1751.64 at 4pm EST



Sell S&P 500 @ 1754- invalid

Sell S&P 500 @ 1754 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P 500 only stayed below 1754 temporarily & broke above later


Wednesday 5 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1756

Sell S&P 500 @ 1756 (S&P Futures 1750) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Tuesday 4 February 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1754

Sell S&P 500 @ 1754 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Stock Market Analysis

S&P 500 broke below 1770 & dropped even further to 1740 yesterday
Although it's trying to rebound, it's still weak & unstable as there're no strong supports
Trading risk increased, trade less or not at all today

S&P 500 should try to rebound around 1740 but stay below 1770
Economic data at 10am EST will also affect the stock market today

Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- win, Buy S&P 500 @ 1770- invalid

Previous signals:
S&P Futures jumped to 1788 on Friday but dropped again, showing that it's still unstable, next resistance @ 1780
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 or 1790 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Risk: 1780 is just a temporary resistance & can be broken easily

Also watch S&P 500 around 1770 or slightly higher for rebound (no strong support found yet)
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1770 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes & end of day expiration
S&P 500 should stay above 1770 or risk dropping even further

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1780 at higher risk if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Update:
Economic data worse than expected, not quite safe to buy anymore, buying will be at a higher risk

Results: Sell S&P Futures @ 1780- win
Buy S&P 500 @ 1770 or 1780- invalid
S&P Futures dropped from 1780 & even further to expire @ 1761.51 at 10am EST


S&P 500 dropped below 1780, 1770 & even further therefore signals to buy are invalid



Monday 3 February 2014

US economic reports update

ISM Manufacturing PMI        
Actual: 51.3    Estimate: 56.2    Previous: 57.0

Economic data worse than expected, not quite safe to buy anymore, buying will be at a higher risk

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1780

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1780 at higher risk if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Trading signals to watch

S&P Futures jumped to 1788 on Friday but dropped again, showing that it's still unstable, next resistance @ 1780
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1780 or 1790 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Risk: 1780 is just a temporary resistance & can be broken easily

Also watch S&P 500 around 1770 or slightly higher for rebound (no strong support found yet)
Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1770 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes & end of day expiration
S&P 500 should stay above 1770 or risk dropping even further



Buy S&P 500 @ 1780- 2 wins

Previous signal:
S&P 500 gained strength & broke above 1780 but is still unstable
Buy S&P 500 @ 1770-1775 or up to 1780 at higher risk for end of day expiration
Buy S&P 500 @ 1780 if & after it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration 
Risk: 1780 is not a strong support yet

S&P 500 must close above 1770 at the end of the 1st month this year or risk dropping further
It would be even better if it can close above 1780

Risk: The stock market can be very volatile especially at the end of the day & month

Result: 2 wins
S&P 500 expired @ 1786.60 at 11:30am EST & 1782.59 at the end of the day, 4pm EST


Sell S&P 500 @ 1780- invalid

Sell S&P 500 @ 1780 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

New resistance @ 1780, S&P 500 dropped from 1780, avoid buying S&P Futures @ 1770 if it doesn't stay above & go higher

Result: invalid
S&P 500 only dropped from 1780 once & broke above 1780 later
Signal is invalid as it didn't stay below & drop further anymore


Buy S&P Futures @ 1770- win at higher risk

Buy S&P Futures @ 1770 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: 1770 is not a strong support yet but S&P Futures is too low

Result: win at higher risk
S&P Futures dropped below 1770 but went back up & expired @ 1778.65 at 11am EST, buy after it stayed above & went higher