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Monday 31 March 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1860- invalid

Buy S&P 500 @ 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P 500 broke below 1860 & rebounded around 1850 instead


Friday 28 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1860

Buy S&P 500 @ 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Thursday 27 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875- win, Buy S&P 500 @ 1870- lost

Previous signals:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1875 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1875- win, Buy S&P 500 @ 1870- lost
S&P 500 dropped from 1875 & only stayed above 1870 temporarily for less than 30 minutes as resistance was too strong
S&P 500 tried to go higher above 1870 again but only managed to reach 1872.3 & dropped once more


Wednesday 26 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870- win, Buy S&P Futures @ 1860- invalid

Previous signals:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Risk: Resistance @ 1870 remains but it's trying to break above 1870

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
S&P Futures is building support @ 1860 (S&P 500's 1868)

Update:
Resistance @ S&P 500's 1870 is stronger than support @ S&P Futures' 1860, sell instead of buying for now


Result:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1870- win
Buy S&P Futures @ 1860- invalid

S&P 500 broke above 1870 slightly but dropped back below, even breaking below temporary support @ 1868 & dropped further to 1856


S&P Futures broke below 1860 temporary support after S&P 500 failed to stay above 1870 therefore signal is invalid


Tuesday 25 March 2014

Resistance @ S&P 500's 1870

Resistance @ S&P 500's 1870 is stronger than support @ S&P Futures' 1860, sell instead of buying for now

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P Futures is building support @ 1860 (S&P 500's 1868)

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: Resistance @ 1870 remains but it's trying to break above 1870

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870- win

Previous signal:
1870 turned into resistance, look to sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1873 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 dropped from 1873 to 1850 & rebounded but stayed below 1860 most of the time


Monday 24 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870

1870 turned into resistance, look to sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1873 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 above 1870- invalid

Previous signal:
Look to buy S&P 500 above 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P 500 jumped to 1883 but couldn't break above 1884 & dropped to 1870
S&P 500 tried to stay above 1870 for a while but couldn't rebound @ 1870 & go higher
It then dropped from Thursday's closing price 1872 & further below after FOMC Member Fisher's said that the Fed has exhausted efficacy of US QE policy around 2pm EDT


Friday 21 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 above 1870

After S&P 500 closed above 1870 yesterday, support @ 1870 is confirmed
Look to buy S&P 500 above 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870- win

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 stayed above 1870 & went higher to 1873 until near end of day
It dropped below for a while to test the support but still managed to close above 1870



Sell S&P Futures @ 1860- invalid

Sell S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P Futures did not stay below & broke above 1860 later, therefore signal is invalid

Thursday 20 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1860

Sell S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870- win

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 (or 1868, S&P Futures @ 1860) if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 stayed above 1870 & went higher until 2pm EDT's FOMC statement
Stop buying after it dropped below 1870


Wednesday 19 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 (or 1868, S&P Futures @ 1860) if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860- win

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P Futures stayed above 1860 & went higher for the rest of the day


Sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1872- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1872 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 stayed below 1872 until 1:40pm EDT, stop selling after it broke above 1872


Tuesday 18 March 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860

Buy S&P Futures @ 1860 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1872

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870-1872 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840- win

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P Futures jumped from 1840 to 1853, buy at anytime before it reaches 1853 at 10am EDT



Monday 17 March 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: Support @ 1840 broken after the market closed on Friday but S&P Futures rebounded & is using it as support again
Economic news might affect it later

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840- 3 wins, Sell S&P Futures @ 1850- 4 wins

Previous signals:
S&P Futures should now try to rebound around 1840 but is currently very weak & also faces resistance around 1850-1851
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1840- 3 wins, Sell S&P Futures @ 1850- 4 wins
S&P Futures dropped to 1840 but rebounded every time, for 3 times
S&P Futures also reached 1850 & eventually dropped back below, for 4 times



Friday 14 March 2014

Stock Market Analysis

S&P Futures should now try to rebound around 1840 but is currently very weak & also faces resistance around 1850-1851
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

Risks: US economic data will affect it later

Sell S&P Futures @ 1874- win

Sell S&P Futures @ 1874 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P Futures dropped from 1874 to 1844, sell at any point between 1874-1850 as it continued to drop for easy wins


Buy S&P Futures @ 1870- invalid/ win at higher risk

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid/ win at higher risk

S&P Futures dropped below 1870 therefore signal is invalid
Although it tried to stay above 1870 & expired slightly above 1870 at 10:30am EDT, it couldn't go higher above 1871 & dropped more later, avoid selling below 1870


Thursday 13 March 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1874

Sell S&P Futures @ 1874 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1866-1868- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1866-1868 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: 3 or more wins
S&P 500 reached around 1866-1868 & dropped several times as it couldn't stay above 1866
Stop selling after it broke above 1866 to go higher at the end of the day


Wednesday 12 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1866-1868

Sell S&P 500 @ 1866-1868 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- win

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- win

S&P Futures dropped from 1880 to 1860


Tuesday 11 March 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1874- invalid

Sell S&P 500 @ 1874 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Another new resistance @ 1874

Result: invalid
S&P 500 stayed below 1874 temporarily then broke above 1874 & dropped back below
But resistance @ 1874 was only temporary as it went up to 1878 later


Sell S&P 500 & S&P Futures @ 1878-1880- win

Sell S&P 500 & S&P Futures @ 1878-1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1878-1880- win
Sell S&P Futures @ 1878-1880- win
S&P 500 dropped from 1878 & stayed below 1878 for the rest of the day



S&P Futures also stayed below 1878 & dropped further

S&P Futures broke slightly above 1878 several times but always dropped back below 1878 even after the market closed

Monday 10 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1874

Sell S&P 500 @ 1874 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Another new resistance @ 1874

Sell S&P 500 & S&P Futures @ 1878-1880

Sell S&P 500 & S&P Futures @ 1878-1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

New resistance @ 1878, previous resistance @ 1880




Trading signals results March 7 2014

Previous signals:
Key level is now at 1880, which can become support or resistance
There's currently a lot of resistance around S&P Futures' 1880 but it's still trying to break above

High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further

Buy S&P 500 @ 1876 if it stays above & goes higher again
S&P 500 rebounded @ 1876 yesterday & today
All for 30 minutes expiration

Results: 
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880- invalid
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- win
Buy S&P 500 @ 1876- invalid

S&P Futures stayed below 1880 until NFP & jumped to 1886 but dropped back later
S&P Futures couldn't stay above 1880 & dropped below again after signals were issued, therefore signal is invalid
S&P Futures then stayed around 1880 & dropped further
S&P 500 did not rebound @ 1876 again, therefore signal is invalid


Friday 7 March 2014

Stock Market Analysis

Chart shows to sell S&P 500 @ 1880 since yesterday, but economic data is causing the market to move abnormally
NFP is better than expected but Unemployment rate is worse than expected

S&P 500 first broke above 1880 to open at 1883 but dropped below 1880 to 1876 & up above 1880 again
Key level is now at 1880, which can become support or resistance
There's currently a lot of resistance around S&P Futures' 1880 but it's still trying to break above

High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further

Buy S&P 500 @ 1876 if it stays above & goes higher again
S&P 500 rebounded @ 1876 yesterday & today
All for 30 minutes expiration

Trading risk increased today, trade less or avoid trading today to reduce your risk

Not safe to buy S&P 500

Not safe to buy S&P 500 yet as it broke below 1880

Abandon "Sell S&P 500 @ 1880"

Abandon signal to sell S&P 500 @ 1880 today as NFP is better than expected
Look forward to buy S&P 500 above 1880 instead of selling, although no supports other than 1880 found yet

Sell S&P 500 @ 1882- invalid/ win at higher risk

Sell S&P 500 @ 1882 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid/ win at higher risk
S&P 500 didn't reach 1882 again therefore signal is invalid as it only reached 1881.41 & dropped further
Sell around 1881.41 to win at a higher risk


Buy/Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- 2 wins, 1 invalid

Previous signals:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

S&P Futures is currently staying below 1880 & still trying but can't break above yet

Result:  Buy S&P Futures @ 1880- invalid, Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- 2 wins

S&P Futures broke above 1880 but didn't go higher & dropped back below, buy signal is invalid
S&P Futures then dropped from 1880 twice & did not go above 1880 for the rest of the day


Buy S&P 500 @ 1880- invalid

Buy S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: S&P 500 broke below 1880 earlier

Result: invalid
S&P 500 reached 1880 again but dropped below as we updated that it's not safe to buy anymore after FOMC Member Plosser's speech which sent S&P 500 to drop & stay below 1880


Thursday 6 March 2014

Look to sell S&P 500 @ 1880

Look to sell S&P 500 @ 1880 tomorrow (7 March 2014) if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Trading signals update

Not safe to buy anymore after FOMC Member Plosser's speech
Buying will be at a higher risk

Sell S&P 500 @ 1882

Sell S&P 500 @ 1882 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Watch S&P Futures @ 1880

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

S&P Futures is currently staying below 1880 & still trying but can't break above yet



Buy S&P 500 @ 1880

Buy S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: S&P 500 broke below 1880 earlier

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875- 6 wins, 1 loss

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875-1876 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1875: 6 wins 1 loss at higher risk, more possible wins selling @ 1876
Although S&P 500 broke above 1875, stronger resistance @ 1876, it's still possible to win selling @ 1875 after it dropped below later

S&P 500 expired @
1875.36 at 10:30am EST,
1874.26 at 11am EST,
1872.81 at 11:30am EST,
1874.32 at 12pm EST,
1873.12 at 12:30pm EST,
1873.25 at 2pm EST,
1873.06 at 2:30pm EST


Wednesday 5 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875

Sell S&P 500 @ 1875-1876 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850, 1860- win at higher risk

Previous signal:
The stock market should go up above 1850 again today as Russian President said there's no need to send troops to Ukraine yet

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Support @ 1850, next possible support @ 1860, buying higher will be riskier but still possible to win

Result: win at higher risk
S&P 500 broke above 1850 & opened at 1862.78, reached 1868 & continued to go even higher, reaching an all time high of 1876.23


Tuesday 4 March 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850

The stock market should go up above 1850 again today as Russian President said there's no need to send troops to Ukraine yet

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Support @ 1850, next possible support @ 1860, buying higher will be riskier but still possible to win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1850- 2 wins

Previous signal:
1850 is a turning point which can also become a resistance
S&P 500 did not stay above 1850 for now, sell instead of buying first

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1850 if stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Result: 2 wins
S&P 500 stayed below 1850 for the rest of the day


Buy S&P 500 @ 1850- invalid

Previous signal:
High Risk:
Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it breaks above 1850, stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: 1850 is a turning point which can also become a resistance

Sell S&P 500 @ 1850 if stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P 500 did not stay above 1850, avoid buying as signal became invalid


Monday 3 March 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1850

1850 is a turning point which can also become a resistance
S&P 500 did not stay above 1850 for now, sell instead of buying first

High risk:
Sell S&P 500 @ 1850 if stays below & drops further, for less than 30 minutes expiration

Risk: S&P 500 can break above 1850 later

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850

High Risk:
Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it breaks above 1850, stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: 1850 is a turning point which can also become a resistance

Sell S&P 500 @ 1850 if stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850- win

Previous signal:
Watch S&P 500 @ 1850 tomorrow (28 Feb 2014)
Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it continues to stay above & go higher

Result: win
S&P 500 went higher from 1855 to 1868, dropped to 1850 & up to 1860 again