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Wednesday 30 April 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1878

Buy S&P 500 @ 1878 (or 1880) if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Friday 25 April 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870- win

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 or S&P Futures @ 1870 at higher risk if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 rebounded around 1870, 2nd possible support @ 1875.45 (S&P Futures @ 1870), 3rd @ S&P 500's 1880

Results: win
S&P 500 went higher & stayed above 1880 temporarily but it's too high & dropped after forming resistance @ 1882
Buy S&P 500 @ 1875.45 (or S&P Futures @ 1870) as it dropped to 1875.45, stayed above it & went higher
Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 is invalid as it didn't drop to 1870 anymore


Thursday 24 April 2014

Buy S&P 500 or S&P Futures @ 1870

Buy S&P 500 @ 1870 or S&P Futures @ 1870 at higher risk if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P 500 rebounded around 1870, 2nd possible support @ 1875.45 (S&P Futures @ 1870), 3rd @ S&P 500's 1880

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results: win
S&P 500 only reached around 1879 & dropped again, staying below 1880 for the rest of the day
Sell at highest point around 1879-1880 as it couldn't go any higher


Wednesday 23 April 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870- invalid

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: invalid
S&P 500 broke above 1870 later

Monday 21 April 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870

Sell S&P 500 @ 1870 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Friday 18 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1856- win, Buy S&P Futures @ 1847- win at higher risk

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures around 1856 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1847 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1856- win
Buy S&P Futures @ 1847- win at higher risk

S&P Futures reached 1856 & dropped to 1851.45
S&P Futures rebounded higher than 1847, buy at higher risk around 1850 for it to reach above 1856
Stop selling S&P Futures @ 1856 after it broke above 1856 & went higher




Thursday 17 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1856, Buy S&P Futures @ 1847

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures around 1856 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1847 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1850- win at higher risk

Sell S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win at higher risk
S&P Futures opened around 1848, broke slightly above 1850 but quickly dropped back below

S&P Futures did the same again later
Stop selling after it broke above 1850 & went higher


Wednesday 16 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1850

Sell S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

S&P Futures jumped from 1810 to 1850 & is too high now, possible resistance @ 1850

Risk: Fed Chair Yellen will speak again today at 12:15pm EDT & the market may be quite volatile like yesterday

April 15 2014 signals results- 7 wins

Previous signals:
Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures @ 1822 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Sell S&P Futures @ 1826 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

High risk:
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1830- win
S&P Futures broke above 1830 & reached 1836
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830- win
S&P Futures then dropped after 10am EDT & broke below 1830 to 1820




Sell S&P Futures @ 1826- 2 wins
S&P Futures also dropped from 1826 to 1818
It also dropped again from 1826 to 1814




Buy S&P Futures @ 1822- win
S&P Futures broke below 1822 earlier, avoid buying until after it stayed above 1822 & went higher later
Buy S&P Futures @ 1830- win
S&P Futures also jumped from 1830 to 1836 & went even higher later



Buy S&P 500 @ 1830- win
S&P 500 jumped from 1833 to 1843 but broke below 1830  in the beginning
Buy only after it stayed above 1830 & went higher later around 2:22pm EDT


Tuesday 15 April 2014

US economic events April 15 2014

8:30am
Core CPI m/m
CPI m/m
Empire State Manufacturing Index

8:45am
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks
9:00am
TIC Long-Term Purchases

10:00am
NAHB Housing Market Index
3:00pm
FOMC Member Plosser Speaks

Signals & Analysis

S&P Futures yesterday's resistance @ 1827 then 1826 after market closed, dropped to 1822 & rebounded higher to break above resistance 1827
1822 turned into possible support, 2nd possible supports @ 1826-1827
Turning point @ 1830, which will be tested after 8:30am EDT

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures @ 1822 or higher if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Sell S&P Futures @ 1826 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

High risk:
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Trading will be high risk today as there are a lot of important economic events that will affect the market which is already unstable

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830- win

April 14th signals:
Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 formed support @ 1830 & stayed above it until after FOMC Member Tarullo's speech at 12:45pm EDT & started dropping from 1834
Stop buying after it broke below 1830 as it dropped even further to 1816


Sell S&P Futures @ 1822, Sell S&P 500 @ 1830- win at higher risk

Previous signals:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1822 or sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Resistance forming @ S&P Futures' 1822 (S&P 500's 1828)
Risk: Economic data @ 10am EDT will affect the market

Update:
Economic data is better than expected, selling will be high risk
Avoid selling especially if it breaks above resistance

Results:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1822, Sell S&P 500 @ 1830- win at higher risk

Avoid selling after economic data at 10am EDT was better than expected & it broke above resistance
Sell at higher risk later after it dropped back below S&P Futures' 1822 & S&P 500's 1830 as they dropped sharply
Stop selling after it broke above resistance again



Monday 14 April 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830

Buy S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Trading signals update

Economic data is better than expected, selling will be high risk
Avoid selling especially if it breaks above resistance

Sell S&P 500 @ 1830, Sell S&P Futures @ 1822

Sell S&P Futures @ 1822 or sell S&P 500 @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Resistance forming @ S&P Futures' 1822 (S&P 500's 1828)
Risk: Economic data @ 10am EDT will affect the market

Sell S&P Futures @ 1830- win, Buy S&P Futures @ 1815- win

Previous signals:
Yesterday, S&P Futures also dropped below 1830 as there were no supports & the market was too high
Today, the market is too low & might rebound but still no strong supports found yet & might drop even further

Resistance created @ 1830 but might be broken later if rebound is strong enough
S&P Futures is currently rebounding from 1815 but it's still quite weak for now

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1815 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830- win
Buy S&P Futures @ 1815- 2 wins

S&P Futures rebounded around 1815 but support is slightly broken & only temporary
Buy S&P Futures @ 1815 at higher risk for 2 wins, stop after it dropped below 1815 & couldn't rebound again

S&P Futures stayed below 1830 for the rest of the day, only reaching 1828 & dropped even further as no strong supports were created
Sell S&P Futures @ 1828 at higher risk as it dropped to 1820



Friday 11 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1830, Buy S&P Futures @ 1815

Yesterday, S&P Futures also dropped below 1830 as there were no supports & the market was too high
Today, the market is too low & might rebound but still no strong supports found yet & might drop even further

Resistance created @ 1830 but might be broken later if rebound is strong enough
S&P Futures is currently rebounding from 1815 but it's still quite weak for now

Consumer Sentiment at 9:55am EDT might also affect the market later

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1830 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1815 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1867- win, Buy S&P Futures around 1860- win

Previous signals:
S&P Futures current resistance @ 1867 but might not be safe to trade as the market is bullish for now
No supports found yet & the market is too high
1860 might become turning point & possible support at 8:30am EDT's Unemployment Claims

Sell S&P Futures @ 1867 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1867- win
Buy S&P Futures around 1860- win
S&P Futures stayed below 1867 & dropped from 1866 to 1862
S&P Futures dropped to 1860 & went back up to 1862.5
Stop buying after it dropped below 1860 as support wasn't created


Thursday 10 April 2014

Stock Market Analysis

S&P Futures current resistance @ 1867 but might not be safe to trade as the market is bullish for now
No supports found yet & the market is too high
1860 might become turning point & possible support at 8:30am EDT's Unemployment Claims

High risk:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1867 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Buy S&P Futures around 1860 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

There'll be a lot of high impact economic events such as Unemployment Claims, Federal Budget Balance, G7 & G20 Meetings throughout the day so trading will be high risk today

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850 - win

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 dropped from the beginning to 1852.80 but stayed above 1850 & went up higher for the rest of the day
S&P 500 also jumped even higher from 1858.86 to 1870 after FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2pm EDT


Wednesday 9 April 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1850

Look to buy S&P 500 @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

April 8 2014 results

Previous signals & analysis:
S&P Futures rebounded from 1834 again although it's not a strong support
It's also forming resistance @ 1840
1840 might become turning point around 10am EDT when US economic data decides if it becomes support or resistance

High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1834 or below 1840 (as low as possible) if it stays above & goes higher

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1834 or below 1840 (as low as possible)- win
S&P Futures fluctuated above & below 1840, dropped to 1836 & reached around 1840 at 10am EDT


Wait after 10am's economic data before buying/selling S&P Futures @ 1840 to avoid volatility
Sell S&P Futures @ 1840- win 
After 10am, S&P Futures built more resistance @ 1840 & dropped to 1831



Buy S&P Futures @ 1834 or below 1840 (as low as possible)- win at higher risk
S&P Futures broke below 1834 as it wasn't a strong support, but quickly rebounded back up to 1840 again



Buy S&P Futures @ 1840- win
S&P Futures broke above 1840 turning point & went up higher as resistance @ 1840 turned into support
S&P Futures also stayed above 1840 for the rest of the day, buy around 1841-1842 at higher risk for more possible wins




Tuesday 8 April 2014

Buy S&P Futures @ 1834, Buy/Sell S&P Futures @ 1840

S&P Futures rebounded from 1834 again although it's not a strong support
It's also forming resistance @ 1840
1840 might become turning point around 10am EDT when US economic data decides if it becomes support or resistance

High risk:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1834 or below 1840 (as low as possible) if it stays above & goes higher

Buy S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays above & goes higher
Sell S&P Futures @ 1840 if it stays below & drops further
All for 30 minutes expiration

April 7 2014 results

Previous signals:
S&P Futures dropped from 1890 to 1850 last Friday, possible support @ 1850 but still quite risky as it's too weak
Resistance formed @ 1860 but might be temporary

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P Futures @ 1855 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

New resistance formed @ 1855, stronger resistance still @ 1860

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1850- win at higher risk
Sell S&P Futures @ 1860- invalid
Sell S&P Futures @ 1855- win
 
S&P Futures dropped below 1850 but rebounded temporarily
Stop buying after it dropped below 1850 but couldn't rebound again later
S&P Futures stayed below 1860, only reaching 1857 & dropped as new resistance formed at 1855
S&P Futures dropped sharply from 1855 to 1834 after breaking above 1855 temporarily



Monday 7 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1855

Sell S&P Futures @ 1855 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

New resistance formed @ 1855, stronger resistance still @ 1860

Buy S&P Futures @ 1850, Sell S&P Futures @ 1860

S&P Futures dropped from 1890 to 1850 last Friday, possible support @ 1850 but still quite risky as it's too weak
Resistance formed @ 1860 but might be temporary

Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1850 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1860 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration


Buy S&P 500 @ 1890- invalid

Buy S&P 500 @ 1890 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

2nd possible support @ S&P 500's 1890 although slightly broken & risky

Result: invalid
S&P 500 failed to stay above 1890 the 2nd time & broke straight below 1890 therefore signal is invalid & risky as expected


Sell S&P Futures @ 1887- win

Previous analysis & signals:
S&P Futures broke above resistance 1887 after NFP but not supports found yet
Possible support @ 1887 if resistance turns into support

Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: S&P Futures might retest resistance @ 1887 & drop further first
Trading will be high risk today after NFP

Results:
Sell S&P Futures @ 1887- win
Buy S&P Futures @ 1887- invalid

Resistance @ 1887 remains as S&P Futures dropped back below 1887 & slightly above it to retest it & finally dropped further below
Avoid buying as resistance did not turn into support when it couldn't go even higher but dropped back below


Friday 4 April 2014

Buy S&P 500 @ 1890

Buy S&P 500 @ 1890 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

2nd possible support @ S&P 500's 1890 although slightly broken & risky

Stock Market Analysis

S&P Futures broke above resistance 1887 after NFP but not supports found yet
Possible support @ 1887 if resistance turns into support

Look to sell S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration
Look to buy S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Risk: S&P Futures might retest resistance @ 1887 & drop further first
Trading will be high risk today after NFP

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880- win, Sell S&P Futures @ 1887- win

Previous signals:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration
Sell S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Results:
Buy S&P Futures @ 1880- win
Sell S&P Futures @ 1887- win

S&P Futures dropped from 1887 to 1880 & rebounded back up
Stop buying after it broke below 1880 later


Thursday 3 April 2014

Sell S&P Futures @ 1887

Sell S&P Futures @ 1887 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 (current support around 1881.60) if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1890- 1 win, 1 lose

Sell S&P 500 @ 1890 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: 1 win. 1 lose
S&P 500 continued its drop from 1890 to 1886
However, S&P 500 broke above 1890 near end of the day

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880- 2 wins

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Resistance @ 1880 is broken & it might turn into support

Result: 2 wins
Buy S&P Futures around 1880 for a win
Buy again at higher risk after it broke below but rebounded higher later as it tested 1880 for support/resistance again


Sell S&P Futures @ 1880- lost

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: lost
S&P Futures created temporary resistance @ 1880 but managed to break above a few minutes before expiration
Stop selling after it broke above 1880


Wednesday 2 April 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1890

Sell S&P 500 @ 1890 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880

Buy S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Resistance @ 1880 is broken & it might turn into support

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880

Sell S&P Futures @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880- win

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P 500 dropped from temporary resistance @ 1880
Stop selling after it broke above 1880

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870- win

Buy S&P Futures @ 1870 if it stays above & goes higher, for 30 minutes expiration

Result: win
S&P Futures dropped to 1870 & went up again higher


Tuesday 1 April 2014

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880

Sell S&P 500 @ 1880 if it stays below & drops further, for 30 minutes expiration