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Monday 2 September 2013

Syria crisis news+ analysis & speculations

Syria crisis news
President Obama decided to seek UN's authorization before attacking Syria despite the fact that it will most likely not be approved because Russia has veto power & supports Syria
Russian president said that claims of Syria using chemical weapons when it's already winning the war to be "utter nonsense", the evidence to be "absolutely unconvincing" & demanded more detailed proof
Syrian government claimed that Al-Qaeda rebels backed & funded by Obama were responsible for the chemical weapons

Analysis & speculations
Obama's decision to seek approval sparked criticisms such as hesitation, doubt, disappointment & a sign of weakness
However, it might just be an act to gain more support especially if he's denied
Obama's intentions to attack Syria ware clear from the beginning but there are strong oppositions against the attack on Syria that might start a world war, so he needs to build up more support first
Arab states has called for international action against Syria & will be supporting Obama
If he attacks without UN approval, he might reiterate that "we cannot tolerate use of chemical weapons & Syria must be taught a lesson or they might do it again"

Obama says that he's war-weary & the attack will just be a statement & not long term
But he should know that Syria's allies especially Russia has already warned against attacking Syria & might retaliate, then more countries might intervene if Russia attacks US, causing more conflicts
There's also a possibility of the evidence being false as Syrian government called US intelligence information "fabrications & lies"
If US attacks Syria based on false evidence, there should also be consequences, unless they provide more solid proof
Therefore, US should use a different approach to send Syria a message if it's indeed guilty instead of military action as attacking Syria will not solve any problems & might cause more trouble

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